By Richard Harrison: phe·nom·e·non
1. a fact or situation that is observed to exist or happen, especially one whose cause or explanation is in question.
“glaciers are unique and interesting natural phenomena”
the object of a person’s perception; what the senses or the mind notice.
Even a blind man traveling the American continent could not fail to notice what has been transpiring in Belize since 1984….the phenomenon of Chinese migrants rapidly taking over important sectors of the Belize economy.
In fact, this movement have become so powerfully entrenched that only free men dare to discuss this otherwise taboo topic.
The importation of Chinese workers to British Honduras was a response to economic shifts in the mid-19th century. As logwood and mahogany production declined, sugarcane plantations became of increasing importance. Recruitment of workers from China was facilitated by the colonial governor John Gardiner Austin, who had previously served as a labour broker in Xiamen, Fujian on China’s southeast coast. 474 Chinese workers thus arrived in British Honduras in 1865.
By 1869, only 211 remained accounted for; 108 had died, while another 155 had sought refuge with the native peoples at Chan Santa Cruz. Many of the deaths were due to suicide in response to horrifying working conditions.
More Chinese laborers migrated to Belize in the early 20th century. The second largest batch came just before the outbreak of World War II, when they traveled to the United States from where they gradually trickled southward by land to Mexico and Central America. The Chinese were originally brought to Belize as Indentured Servants as Slaves.
Belize’s citizenship-by-investment programme, which began in 1986, was a popular option among Chinese migrants in the 1990s. In response to the demand, the price rose from US$25,000 to US$50,000 in 1997. Hong Kong migrants, who lacked real British citizenship but only had British National (Overseas) status, sought to obtain Belizean passports as an insurance policy in case conditions in their homeland went downhill after the 1997 resumption of sovereignty by China.
Mainland Chinese migrants, for their part, sought to use Belize as a stepping stone to get around tough U.S. migration policy against them; however, the U.S. tightened up its visa requirements for Belizeans in response. Migrants from Taiwan also took advantage of this programme. Among migrants from Taiwan it was especially popular to bring aged relatives to settle in Belize.
Not all of the migrants returned to their homeland or went on to the U.S.; some settled in the Belize River on the tracts of land that the government granted them in exchange for their investments, bringing in workers to building houses and schools. In the mid-1990s there may have been as many as six or seven thousand Chinese people in Belize. However, when the government tightened its work permit policies, an exodus began — the migrants went to other Chinese communities in Costa Rica, Thailand, and the Philippines where migration policies were more favourable. By 1998 the Chinese were estimated to have fallen to about 1.5% of the Belizean population, or three thousand people.
The 2000 Census found 1,716 Chinese people (0.7% of the population) living in the country, and 1,607 people speaking Chinese as their first language.
The 2010 Census did not break out Chinese separately, but recorded 2,823 “Asians” (a separate category from “East Indians”), or a little over 1% of the population.
Assuming that all Asians are of Chinese origin, the growth of that ethnic group rose by around 65%.
During the period 2000-2010, the total census population rose from 248,016 to 324,528….a growth of around 31%.
This means that the rate of growth of the Chinese population was over 100% more than the total population growth.
Belize’s net migration remained negative from Independence in 1981 through 1995, when it was recorded at -9.14%.
For comparison, the net migration rate increased to 10.49% by 2000, 4.37% by 2005, 5.77% by 2010, and 4.46% by 2015.
There was a significant peak of growth in net migration between 1998 and 2003, a phenomenon that needs more investigative research and explanation. A lot of lawyer politicians and their “immigration agents” became very wealthy from sale of Belize passports, permanent residencies and visas during that period.
Today, this 1% of the population owns a significant majority share of the food, beverage and sundries retail sector, fuel retail (gas stations), fast food and restaurants, and a growing number of hotels, bars and entertainment spots.
The Cayo district alone boasts around 35 major super markets, an investment of around $80 million in land, buildings and starting inventory; since 1990. Most of them started small, renting buildings in prime locations from Belizeans….and then suddenly, almost overnight, would buy and build up a unit 10 times the magnitude…as if by magic.
A general estimate of the total investment my Chinese nationals since 1990 to current can be estimated at around $400 million….or a little over 10% of GDP.
It is a mystery to most Belizeans how this phenomenon is evolving…and many speculate as to how these investments are financed.
There seems to be five sources of financing that are backing this rapidly evolving reality:
The migration of Chinese to Belize involves the sale of passports, permanent residencies and visas…with the revenues shared between a Chinese international immigration broker, a local Chinese immigration broker, a local politically-connected “agent”, a political facilitator and immigration department officers. The lions share seems to go to the international and local Chinese immigration brokers. This windfall has to be invested.
It is apparent that the domestic commercial banks also seem to play a role….mostly with operating capital….financing the inventory. Whether they finance this without collateral, or whether they take the land and buildings as collateral is left to be determined….but it is apparent that they certainly participate to some extent in financing this phenomenon.
The boledo lottery has been controlled by Chinese immigrants from shortly after Independence….the owner, the Government of Belize, transferred it to them from Lebanese merchants, who controlled it previously….at around the time of the beginning of the Economic Citizenship initiative by the first Esquivel government…and the start-up of the Belize-Taiwan relations….which accordingly was spearheaded by the Belize-Chinese diplomat, to whom the boledo lottery was allegedly contracted for management. This economic citizenship initiative was sold to Belizeans with the argument that Chinese would invest in big exporting industries in Belize, which should have brought Belize to full employment. The Barrow administration that came to power in 2008 has apparently changed the contract manager of the boledo lottery, allegedly with another Chinese merchant playing a significant role, with some alleged affiliation to a person or persons close to the Prime Minister. The boledo lottery is estimated to net profits on average of around $16 million annually….which would amount to $432 million since 1990. This windfall had to be invested.
Most of the Chinese immigrants come from the region of Guangdong, which borders Hong Kong….where it is alleged that the Chinese international immigration brokers are located. Hong Kong has a vibrant stock exchange that finances inbound and outbound Chinese investments, and no doubt there are scaled Chinese financial brokers that have access to these financial markets. A free cash flow of $16 million per year from boledo lottery alone can finance a 30-year bond of $350 million, which when securitized in secondary markets can raise another $250 million.
If 100 Chinese owned businesses turn over $180 million per year, at 3% net profit, this would amount to $5.4 million per year. This money can be plowed back into expansion of existing investments, sent home to China as remittance to families back home, or to push forward into new territories such as USA, Mexico, Guatemala and El Salvador….although these countries have been a lot less welcoming of this population and investment crawl as Belize.
The bottom line is, that Belizeans, through the sale of its passports, permanent residencies and visas….and the contracting of Chinese control over the windfall from boledo lottery….are financing, to a significant extent, this Chinese phenomenon.
Logics would explain that this is not a sale of Belize and Belizeans….it is a give away….by the lawyer politicians whom Belize have entrusted with the maximum leadership since this phenomenon became properly ramped up since 1986.
Because these investment are so large….and the Chinese proven to be hard working and productive citizens that mostly love Belize…this phenomenon cannot be seen to be negative….but rather an opportunity.
In the best interest of born and immigrant Belizeans, three things need to be done:
The Economic Citizenship initiative needs to be brought out from the black market and into the transparent accountability realm. Even the USA has such a program, with rules and regulations that are clear….and revenues that has to be accounted for to the national treasury. To try to eliminate such a lucrative “industry” would be a dream and would only serve to drive it deeper into the black market, where born Belizeans will only see….but not feel…the effects of this free cash flow.
The boledo lottery must be wholly administered by a new department of the Government of Belize, with modern electronic financial controls…under the direct control of the Auditor General, with absolutely no ministerial discretion…and the profit flows used to raise many millions in the bond markets for development investment capital that ALL Belizeans can have competitive access to, including our Chinese immigrants.
The Government of Belize should cooperate with Chinese investment brokers in Hong Kong to develop the links with their financial system, so that many more Belizeans can access financing from that source. A honeymoon of the London Stock Exchange and Hong Kong Stock Exchange should be planned and organized for Coney Drive in Belize City, which can service the development financing needs of Belize and the entire Central America and Caribbean region.
Neither the ruling UDP, nor the opposition PUP, will want to alter this status quo establishment….both their leaders and henchmen have and continue to benefit handsomely from this “accommodation agreement”….completely out of sight, and mostly out of mind, from majority of Belizeans.
Our Chinese brothers and sisters are very conscious and intelligent…that is why many take their share and move on from apparently successful businesses, against all logic, leaving them behind to the new waves of Chinese immigrants….they will want Belizeans to back them up and release them from the voracious choke hold of the financial brokers when they start to demand more from them to the point where they become slaves…and they know that this rampant free-loading facilitated by Belize’s maximum leaders, politician lawyers and their agents cannot continue forever….that this reckless abandonment of the Belize political-legal elite has brought the Belize economy to an unsustainable level that needs urgent stabilization, and which puts all their investment at substantial risk.
Only the people can save the people…
LONG LIVE BELIZE….FREE, UNITED AND PROSPEROUS
The views expressed in this article are those of the writer and not necessarily those of Breaking Belize News.
This article was written by Richard Harrison, Belizean investor in production and services businesses in Belize. He holds a Master’s in Business Administration degree from Lancaster University.
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