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Disturbance near Yucatan Peninsula has 90% chance of formation

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Posted: Monday, June 1, 2020. 2:15 pm CST.

By BBN Staff: The National Hurricane Center (NHC) is closely monitoring an area of disturbed weather centered near the west coast of the Yucatan Peninsula.

The disturbance is gradually becoming better organized.

NHC says that the disturbance will move west-northwestward over the Bay of Campeche later this afternoon where environmental conditions are expected to be conducive to support development, and a tropical depression or storm is likely to form tonight or Tuesday.

The disturbance has a high (90 percent) chance of formation during the next 48 hours and five days.

The system is then forecast to drift westward or west-southwestward over the southern Bay of Campeche through the middle of the week.

Interests along the coast of the Bay of Campeche should monitor the progress of this disturbance as tropical storm watches or warnings could be required for a portion of this area later today or tonight.

Regardless of tropical cyclone formation, heavy rainfall is likely to continue over portions of southern Mexico, Guatemala, El Salvador, Belize, and western Honduras during the next few days.

 

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