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Scientists predict COVID-19 deaths in Latin America could exceed 300,000 by October

Posted: Friday, July 3, 2020. 1:59 pm CST.

By BBN Staff: Scientists from the University of Washington (UOW) are predicting that more than 300,000 people in Latin America could die from COVID-19 by the month of October, reports the NBC affiliated news outlet, Erie News.

An article published on erienewsnow.com said that even the Pan American Health Organization (PAHO) referenced the UOW research noting how serious the implications could be for the region.

“…the University of Washington that predicts more than 438,000 total deaths across the region through the end of September. That means, on average, nearly 3,500 people could die of the virus every day between now and the” the article said.

Notably, the UOW model was made with the assumption that the Latin American countries would be adhering to social distancing and that the deaths could exceed the forecast if these countries do not.

Erie News emphasized that the eight countries: Brazil, Mexico, Colombia, Argentina, Peru, Venezuela, Chile, and Ecuador, which make up more than 82 percent of Latin America and the Caribbean’s (LAC)’s population, also make up 94 percent of total cases and 96 percent of total deaths of all the region’s 33 countries.

The news site also commended Belize for keeping the number of infections relatively low (23 cases) as of last week.

Currently, the global death toll for the COVID-19 pandemic stands at over 526,000, with over 121,000 coming from the LAC region.


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