Tropical Storm Delta forecasted to become a major hurricane as it nears Yucatan Peninsula

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Published by BBN Staff at October 5, 2020

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Posted: Monday, October 5, 2020. 3:31 pm CST.

By BBN Staff: The National Hurricane Center (NHC) is issuing advisories on Tropical Storm Delta.

Data from a NOAA Hurricane Hunter aircraft indicate that the maximum sustained winds have rapidly increased to near 70 mph (110 km/h) with higher gusts.

Additional rapid strengthening is expected to occur during the next day or so, and Delta is expected to be a major hurricane when it nears the Yucatan Peninsula.

As of this afternoon, the center of Tropical Storm Delta was located over the northwestern Caribbean Sea about 160 miles (260 km) south-southwest of Negril, Jamaica, and about 245 miles (395 km) south-southeast of Grand Cayman.

Delta is moving toward the west near 8 mph (13 km/h), and a turn toward the west-northwest should occur this evening. A faster northwestward motion is expected Tuesday through Wednesday night.

The center of Delta is expected to pass southwest of the Cayman Islands early Tuesday, and approach the northeastern portion of the Yucatan peninsula and the Yucatan Channel Tuesday afternoon or evening.

Delta is forecast to move into the southern Gulf of Mexico Tuesday night or early Wednesday, and be over the south-central Gulf of Mexico on Wednesday and Wednesday night.

Through midweek, Delta is expected to produce 3 to 6 inches of rain with isolated maximum totals of 8 inches across Jamaica, the Cayman Islands, western Cuba, and the northern Yucatan Peninsula.

This rainfall could lead to significant flash floods and mudslides.

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