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How was the BBN poll so accurate?

Posted: Saturday, November 14, 2020. 3:42 pm CST.

By BBN Staff: Breaking Belize News (BBN) launched an online poll in October just after the announcement was made that the General Elections were going to be held on November 11th, 2020.

The poll was launched with several questions using Google Forms.

When that poll closed at 4 pm on November 9th, 2020, it indicated that the respondents believed the People’s United Party (PUP) was favored by seven in ten (70.7 %) to win the majority of seats in the 2020 General Elections.

On the question of who respondents thought would be the next Prime Minister of Belize, the PUP Leader John Briceno was favored by much the same scoreline over the UDP’s Faber – 69.4 percent to 26.7 percent.

Of the 4,040 who responded to the question of whether they would vote, nearly 87 percent said yes.

Belize’s last election in 2015 saw approximately 72 percent turnout and a high of 90 percent was recorded in 1998 when the UDP was blown out by Said Musa’s PUP, 26 to 3 seats.

The November 11th general elections saw the PUP garnering 26 of the 31 seats in the House of Representatives.

The overall voter turnout was 81.86% of the total electors.


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