Posted: Sunday, May 2, 2021. 1:23 pm CST.
By Aaron Humes: The Barbados-based Caribbean Climate Outlook Forum (CariCOF) forecasts parts of the Caribbean to receive increased rainfall – but not Belize.
According to Loop Cayman, CariCOF says Belize could see the rainy season, which typically begins about this time, delayed up to a month, while the Bahamas, the Cayman Islands, Cuba, and the Guianas will experience increased rainfall amounts
Dry spells, though decreasing in frequency, may spark heatwaves throughout Belize and the Caribbean Islands.
When the rain does come, CariCOF reports, it will bring with it a high potential for flooding and flash floods, as well as, associated hazards. There is considerable uncertainty with respect to the forecasted evolution of the El Niño Southern Oscillation.
If La Niña re-emerges, the region can expect to be at least as wet or even wetter than usual, with the potential for a busy peak of the Atlantic Hurricane Season. Heat stress is expected to be high during the second half of the Heat Season, especially in view of high humidity and recurrent heatwaves.
Incursions of Saharan dust typically peak in frequency at this time.
The region also faces an increased possibility of major tropical storms and hurricanes which also depend on the El Niño/ La Niña pattern.
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