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Chief Meteorologist Ronald Gordon: It only takes one hurricane for an active season

Posted: Wednesday, May 26, 2021. 3:35 pm CST.

By Aaron Humes: All the forecast models are predicting an active season, but  Chief Meteorologist Ronald Gordon says it only takes one hurricane for any country to have an active season.

It is important to note that over the past 30 years, an increase in activity has shifted the prediction of an average season, raising the number of named storms to 14 and number of hurricanes to 7, with the average major hurricanes mark staying at 3.

Regional forecasts call for a median number of 19 storms.

Colorado State University has predicted a greater probability of a named storm coming within 50 miles of Belize (55 percent), a hurricane (27 percent) and a major hurricane (8 percent).

But as Gordon points out, these do not tell us where storms will form and when, neither how intense they will be or where they will go, so it is important to prepare and stay tuned to regular updates from NEMO and the Met Service.

The season ends on November 30.


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