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80% chance tropical wave in southwestern Caribbean turns into tropical depression by the weekend

Posted: Wednesday, August 25, 2021. 10:19 am CST.

By Rubén Morales Iglesias: Two of the three tropical waves the United States National Hurricane Center (NHC) is monitoring have the potential of becoming tropical depressions by the end of the week. One of them is the Caribbean Sea and is headed our way.

The tropical wave in the southwestern Caribbean is expected to form a low area of broad pressure over northwestern Colombia and the south-central Caribbean said the NHC forecasters.

The NHC said the system has 40 percent probability of developing into a tropical depression within the next 48 hours and 80% probability of it doing so within the next five days.

The system continues moving west-northwestward to northwestward over the northwestern Caribbean Sea. Forecasters said it should “move near or across the Yucatan Peninsula of Mexico on Saturday, and move into the western Gulf of Mexico by Sunday.”

The NHC said a second system which has disorganized showers and thunderstorms is located over the central tropical Atlantic about 800 miles southeast of Bermuda. Environmental conditions could convert it into a tropical depression by the weekend as it turns eastward over the central Atlantic.

The third system is a tropical wave that is located over the far eastern tropical Atlantic several hundred miles southwest of the Cabo Verde Islands. That system, said the NHC, “is producing a disorganized area of showers and thunderstorms which can develop over the next several days as it moves west-northwestward at 10 to 15 mph over the eastern tropical Atlantic.” However, the NHC expects the conditions to become less conducive to develop by the weekend.


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