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La Niña could cause floods in Belize, Caribbean islands during December

Posted: Wednesday, December 1, 2021. 7:16 pm CST.

By Rubén Morales Iglesias: The Barbados-based Caribbean Climate Outlook Forum (CariCOF) says La Niña could cause floods during the next three months in Belize and the Caribbean islands, from December 2021 to February 2022.

The latest CariCOF publication said that for a second consecutive year La Niña can boost “rainfall (except in the northern Caribbean), but tempers heat and reduces the chance of drought and frequent dry spells”.

The CariCIF report said the potential for flooding/flash floods and related hazards is “still moderate in December in the Caribbean Islands and Belize, high until early-February in the Guianas”.

CariCOF said the forecast predicts that the period from December to February should be “at least as wet as usual in ABC Islands (Aruba, Bonaire, and Curaçao), Belize, western parts of the Guianas, Trinidad & Tobago, but possibly drier than usual in the Bahamas, Cuba, Hispaniola, and US Territories”.

However, the forecast says that the frequency of showers should slowly decrease from December to February, leading to a slow increase in wildfire potential.

CariCOF said that drought is likely in the Cayman Islands, Cuba, southeast Belize, and northwest Puerto Rico, and possible in many other islands affecting agriculture

“Depletion of groundwater and other large reservoirs can potentially pose a concern in Belize, and in many islands,” said the report.

With regards to heat, the Caricof report said that the forecast calls for “comfortably cool conditions from December to March” with “temperatures becoming uncomfortably high during heatwaves from April or May onwards”.

April and May could be potentially very hot in Belize and Cuba.


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