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June to November – the hurricane season is here

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Posted: Wednesday, June 1, 2022. 10:29 am CST.

By Aaron Humes: Even though early activity has already been detected, today, Wednesday, is the official start of the hurricane season in the Atlantic Basin.

In an official press release, the National Meteorological Service and National Emergency Management Organization (NEMO) confirms that 2022 has been forecast to be an above-normal season for tropical cyclone activity. The projection is for between 14 and 21 named storms; six and ten hurricanes, and three to six major hurricanes (of Category 3 or stronger on the Saffir-Simpson scale), compared to an average season of 14 named storms, seven hurricanes, and three major hurricanes.

Today, Wednesday, 1st June marks the official start of the 2022 hurricane season for the Atlantic Basin (North Atlantic, Caribbean Sea, and the Gulf of Mexico). The season runs from 1st June to 30th November each year. However, there are occasions when a tropical cyclone may form outside of this period.

According to the NMS, the increased activity of this season is due to potential La Nina conditions as opposed to the suppressive El Nino pattern and warmer than average sea surface temperatures for the Atlantic.

The NMS reminds us that season predictions such as the one above do not tell us when a particular hurricane will develop or where it will go. But whether Belize is hit by one or more projected storms or none, we must be prepared each and every year no matter what the forecast is.

The team of experts at the National Meteorological Service (NMS) of Belize in the Ministry of Sustainable Development, Climate Change and Disaster Risk Management, will use all assets at its disposal to monitor and track developing systems and alert the National Emergency Management Organization (NEMO) and the general public in a timely manner should any system pose a threat to Belize.

In order to better serve the Belizean public with more precise, relevant and user-friendly information, starting on June 1, 2022, the Department will be launching a 24-hour forecast for the major municipalities across the country. The Department will also be issuing a more detailed and graphically enhanced once-weekly tropical weather outlook. This product will be updated more frequently if a system is posing a direct threat to the country. These new products will be available on the Department’s website at www.nms.gov.bz.

The NMS and NEMO take this opportunity to advise members of the general public to review their family emergency plans and to be prepared for any eventuality during the 2022 Hurricane Season. The public is also reminded that it is an offence to share false information. Only official information from the NMS and NEMO should be followed.

 

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