Forecasters still uncertain about future of potential storm in Caribbean; Belize must stay on alert this weekend

Published by [email protected] at October 5, 2022

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Posted: Wednesday, October 5, 2022. 4:29 pm CST.

By Aaron Humes: This weekend, Belizeans should keep an eye on the sea for a currently disorganized low-pressure system that has the potential to develop and impact Belize this weekend.

At present, Chief Meteorologist Ronald Gordon said investigative aircraft could not find any evidence of organization, but “There is the potential for it to develop and become a tropical storm – that’s within two to three days – and after that, where it goes is still uncertain; however, one of the most reliable models, the European model, is indicating that the system will move toward Nicaragua and possibly northern Honduras.” There is a smaller chance that it could move more west-northwestward and impact Belize directly.

Chief Meteorologist Ronald Gordon

The earliest it could reach the area is on Sunday, with the impact of rain and so on expected starting on Monday and Tuesday, but it is still subject to intensification and so impacts could be worse.

The bottom line is that we must remain vigilant and monitor the system for the rest of this week and into the next as the models do not indicate it will recurve northward as the recent Hurricane Ian did. We will know more, Gordon said, once the system is defined as a tropical depression which could be at any time in the next few hours.

Gordon repeated that this is the time of year for storms to impact Belize and so it might be a good idea to make some early preparations depending on what happens out in the Caribbean.

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