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Forecasters predict near-normal 2023 Atlantic hurricane season

Posted: Thursday, May 25, 2023. 3:01 pm CST.

By Zoila Palma Gonzalez: Forecasters at the National Oceanic and Atmospheric Administration (NOAA) are predicting a near-normal hurricane season this year.

The Atlantic Hurricane Season begins on June 1 and goes through to November.

NOAA’s outlook predicts a 40% chance of a near-normal season, a 30% chance of an above-normal season and a 30% chance of a below-normal season.

Forecasters say that there could be between 12 to 17 named storms, of those 5 to 9 could strengthen to hurricanes including 1 to 4 major hurricanes (category 3, 4 or 5; with winds of 111 mph or higher).

Experts say that this year’s Atlantic hurricane season is expected to be less active than recent years, due to competing factors — some that suppress storm development and some that fuel it — driving this year’s overall forecast for a near-normal season.

Scientists say that El Nino could develop this summer suppressing Atlantic hurricane activity.

‘El Nino’s potential influence on storm development could be offset by favorable conditions local to the tropical Atlantic Basin.

The first named storm of the 2023 Atlantic Hurricane Season will be Arlene.


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