National Hurricane Center monitoring tropical disturbance in Caribbean with 80% chance of formation

By BBN Staff: The National Hurricane Center (NHC) is closely monitoring a tropical disturbance associated with a tropical wave in the Caribbean Sea.

The NHC notes that although the disturbance does not yet have a well-defined circulation center, ship observations indicate that tropical-storm-force winds are occurring in the northern portion of the wave to the southeast of Jamaica, which will spread near or just south of Jamaica later this morning and into this afternoon.

Environmental conditions are expected to become a little more conducive for development, and a tropical depression or a tropical storm is likely to form during the next day or so before the system reaches Central America Wednesday night. There is an 80 percent chance of formation within the next 48 hours.

Locally heavy rains and gusty winds are possible on Jamaica today, and interests there,  as well as in northern Nicaragua, Honduras, Belize, Guatemala, and  the Yucatan Peninsula, should monitor the progress of this system.

NEMO and the National Meteorological Center are also monitoring this system as additional strengthening is forecasted.

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